شناخت پژوهی مطالعات سیاسی

شناخت پژوهی مطالعات سیاسی

شناسایی و تحلیل پیشران‌های تأثیرگذار بر آینده اعتماد عمومی در جمهوری اسلامی ایران

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان
1 دانشجوی دکتری اینده پژوهی مطالعات سیاسی انقلاب اسلامی، دانشگاه شاهد، تهران، ایران
2 استادیار دانشگاه پدافند هوایی خاتم الانبیا ارتش، تهران، ایران
3 دانشجو دکتری جامعه شناسی مطالعات سیاسی انقلاب اسلامی، دانشگاه شاهد، تهران، ایران
چکیده
اعتماد به‌عنوان یکی از سرمایه‌های مهم و اساسی در یک جامعه شناخته می‌شود که زمینه‌ساز مشارکت و همکاری میان اعضای جامعه با یک‌دیگر و دولت و مردم با همدیگر است. اعتماد عمومی به‌عنوان یکی از جنبه‌های مهم اعتماد از ملزومات اساسی موفقیت و پیشرفت دولت‌هاست، تقویت اعتماد عمومی و افزایش آن در جامعه منجر به ایجاد کاهش تعارض‌ها و افزایش انواع مشارکت‌ در جهت بهبود عملکرد نظام حکمرانی خواهد شد. شناسایی پیشران‌های کلیدی تأثیرگذار بر اعتماد عمومی در نظام جمهوری اسلامی ایران که هدف اصلی این پژوهش است می‌تواند زمینه را برای برنامه‌ریزی و پیش‌نگری در حوزه اعتماد عمومی برای نظام سیاست‌گذاری کشور فراهم نماید. درواقع پژوهش به‌دنبال پاسخ‌گویی به این سؤال است که پیشران‌های کلیدی شکل‌دهنده به آینده اعتماد عمومی در جمهوری اسلامی ایران دربرگیرنده چه پیشران‌هایی است؟ رویکرد پژوهش اکتشافی است و با بهره‌گیری از روش آینده‌پژوهی مبتنی بر پیشران شناسی و استفاده از نرم‌افزار میک مک به تحلیل داده‌ها و شناسایی پیشران‌های کلیدی پرداخته است. یافته‌های تحقیق ناشی از نرم‌افزار بیان‌کننده این است که پیشران‌های پاسخ‌گویی و شفافیت، کارآمدی نظام سیاسی، عدالت اجتماعی، شکاف‌های طبقاتی بیشترین تأثیرگذاری را بر آینده اعتماد عمومی در جمهوری اسلامی ایران دارند.
کلیدواژه‌ها

عنوان مقاله English

Identification and analysis of drivers influencing the future of public trust in the Islamic Republic of Iran

نویسندگان English

zohreh mohammadi 1
Ayyoub nikunahad 2
hadis bagherynia 3
1 PhD student in Futures Studies of Islamic Revolution Political Studies, Shahed University, Tehran, Iran
2 Khatam al-Nabiya Army Air Defense University, Tehran, Iran
3 PhD student in Sociology of Political Studies of the Islamic Revolution, Shahed University, Tehran, Iran
چکیده English

Trust is known as one of the important and fundamental capitals in a society, which is the basis for cooperation and cooperation between the members of the society and the government and the people. Public trust as one of the important aspects of trust is essential for the success and progress of governments, strengthening public trust and increasing it in the society will lead to reducing conflicts and increasing various types of participation in order to improve the functioning of the governance system. Identifying the key drivers affecting public trust in the system of the Islamic Republic of Iran, which is the main goal of this research, can provide the basis for planning and forecasting in the field of public trust for the country's policy-making system.In fact, the research seeks to answer the question, what are the key drivers that shape the future of public trust in the Islamic Republic of Iran? The approach of the research is exploratory and by using the future research method based on kinematics and the use of Mic Mac software, it analyzed the data and identified the key kinematics. The research findings from the software show that the drivers of accountability and transparency, the efficiency of the political system, social justice, and class divisions have the greatest impact on the future of public trust in the Islamic Republic of Iran.

کلیدواژه‌ها English

Public trust
future research
propulsion science
Mic Mac software
Islamic Republic of Iran

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دوره 1، شماره 2 - شماره پیاپی 2
فصل تابستان
پاییز 1403
صفحه 26-53

  • تاریخ دریافت 26 مرداد 1403
  • تاریخ بازنگری 27 آبان 1403
  • تاریخ پذیرش 01 آذر 1403